21  Appendix C — Product Analysis Detail

Author

Shawn Phillips | Lailara LLC


21.1 C.1 · Whole-Business Combined View

This appendix consolidates product analysis across all three segments: top products by revenue, volume, and revenue per unit; segment-exclusive products; and the combined purchasing reference.

Net revenue in these tables is gross invoiced less cancellations. A product appearing in the gross top 10 but absent from the net top 10 is overstating its commercial contribution — the gap between the two lists identifies where cancellations are concentrated by product. The risk signal column flags single-account dependency: products where one account’s purchasing dominates that product’s total revenue.

21.1.1 Combined Purchasing View — Segment Attribution

UK and International customers purchase largely different products at different frequencies. Only one of the top 10 products by segment overlaps across both. A combined view is useful for aggregate stock planning, but the segment-level divergence is the acquisition-relevant finding — it is the data basis for separate UK and International commercial teams.

This table synthesizes the three segment forecasts into a single purchasing reference. Every figure is a projected demand signal, not a confirmed order quantity. No number should be used for purchasing without checking current inventory positions and applying the product’s historical cancellation rate to convert gross projections into net fulfillment quantities.

Four products — Paper Chain Kit 50’s Christmas, Rabbit Night Light, Assorted Colour Bird Ornament, and Chilli Lights — have documented probable stockout periods identified in the demand gap analysis later in this section. When a product is out of stock, the orders that would have been placed do not appear in the data, and the projection model cannot capture demand that was never recorded. Treat these four projections as floor estimates.

Combined 4-Week Purchasing View — Identified Segments (UK + International) · Anonymous orders included in business totals · Projected demand for weeks immediately following December 9, 2011 — the dataset close date
Product UK Units Intl Units Total 4-Wk Demand Confidence
Small Popcorn Holder 12236 0 12236 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Rabbit Night Light 0 5416 5416 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Paper Chain Kit 50'S Chri... 5386 0 5386 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot 4140 0 4140 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Assorted Colour Bird Orna... 3568 0 3568 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Black Record Cover Frame 2632 0 2632 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
White Hanging Heart T-Lig... 2376 0 2376 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Chilli Lights 1412 0 1412 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Regency Cakestand 3 Tier 576 260 836 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Spaceboy Lunch Box 0 652 652 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Party Bunting 620 0 620 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Red Toadstool Led Night L... 0 580 580 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Round Snack Boxes Set Of4... 0 568 568 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Dolly Girl Lunch Box 0 528 528 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Plasters In Tin Woodland ... 0 468 468 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cut... 0 304 304 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins 0 264 264 HIGH — identified-customer-driven
Round Snack Boxes Set Of ... 0 240 240 HIGH — identified-customer-driven

HIGH confidence products are driven by identified repeat customers — these are the lowest-risk stock commitments. MEDIUM confidence products require triangulation against actual inventory records before committing. LOW confidence projections, where 60% or more of projected demand is anonymous-driven, should be treated as indicative only.

The unit figures are gross 4-week demand projections representing expected orders, not retained revenue. Each product’s historical cancellation rate should be applied when converting forecast units into fulfillment quantities. A product with a 6% cancellation rate requires approximately 6.4% additional stock — divide projected demand by one minus the cancellation rate to size the order correctly.

Post-close action. Buyer’s Supply Chain team and COO. Stock confirmations on the four floor-estimate products before the first Q4 under new ownership. All other top-demand products confirmed within Quarter 1 (Days 1–90).

Organizational implication. The demand table shows two largely non-overlapping product portfolios currently managed by the same team. UK customers concentrate in home décor and gift sets. International customers concentrate in different SKUs with higher per-unit values and longer reorder intervals. A single account management team optimizing for UK demand cadence will systematically under-serve international reorder patterns. This is a structural mismatch between how each segment buys, not a staffing volume problem. The post-close recommendation for dedicated UK and International account management mandates in Segment Programs is grounded in this data.


21.1.2 Probable Demand Gaps — Estimating the Cost of Lost Demand

Were there periods where key products appear to have gone out of stock, and what did those probable stockouts cost?

This analysis works backward from the demand signal. All figures require validation against actual inventory records before being used for financial planning.

Products flagged here show consecutive near-zero weeks following sustained positive demand — the signature of a probable stockout.

Combined annualized exposure across these 5 products: approximately £214.92K — this is the upper bound of recoverable revenue from resolving the stockout pattern on these SKUs. As a share of total business revenue: approximately 2.09%.

Stockout history is an inventory liability assessment tool. First, probable stockout events quantify lost revenue under current management — approximately £214.92K annualized across these products — that would be recoverable under better inventory management. Second, they reveal the demand signal beneath the actual sales data: a product with probable stockout weeks has higher underlying demand than its sales figures show. Pre-close, the acquirer should request inventory records for the flagged products to validate whether the stockout pattern reflects a systematic purchasing failure or a one-time supply disruption.


21.2 C.2 · UK Product Analysis

UK-segment product detail.

21.2.1 What the UK Product Data Tells an Acquirer

Before reviewing individual products, the data establishes three specific commercial gaps — things the current business is not doing that a competent acquirer can capitalize on immediately post-close.

ImportantThree Acquisition Value Creation Levers — UK Segment Products

Lever 1 — Convert the one-timer pool. 1,352 UK Identified accounts — 34.54% of the entire UK base — placed exactly one order and never returned. The unrecovered incremental forward value from these accounts is approximately £1.35M — computed as the number of one-time accounts × (3-year LTV minus the median revenue already received on their first order). This is not an inevitable loss. On the transaction record, there is no evidence of a systematic day-30 follow-up trigger for new accounts. An acquirer who implements this program within 30 days of close begins recovering this value immediately. Approximately 3 new UK accounts enter and exit the 30-day conversion window every day without a follow-up — each one permanently lost at the UK forward LTV.

Lever 2 — Reactivate the 687 accounts that went silent before Q4. These accounts ordered in H1 2011 and placed zero orders in H2 — the half of the year that includes Q4, the business’s highest-revenue period. Their combined H1 revenue was £353.80K. None of that transferred to H2. For an acquirer, a reactivation call to these accounts serves two purposes: it attempts to restart the commercial relationship and introduces the change in ownership. Accounts that lapsed due to service or relationship issues with the prior team may respond differently to new ownership. Zero acquisition cost. Full forward LTV if reactivated.

Lever 3 — Protect the 6 UK-exclusive top products through named account ownership. Of the top 10 UK products by net revenue, 6 have no demand buffer from international or anonymous customers. If the UK accounts driving those products reduce orders or churn, no other segment absorbs the shortfall. For an acquirer, these are the products most vulnerable to account concentration risk — losing one or two key accounts can remove a meaningful share of the product’s UK revenue with no offsetting demand elsewhere in the portfolio.

UK product segment — commercial-potential assessment. The UK product base is not earning at its potential. The one-timer gap, the H1-silent accounts, and the unprotected UK-exclusive products are three documented gaps between current and achievable performance — each addressable within 90 days of close.

21.2.2 UK Accounts That Went Silent Before Q4 (687) — Action Required Now

H1 = January–June 2011. H2 = July–December 2011 (includes Q4, the peak revenue period). Every account in the table below was an active UK customer in H1 and placed zero orders in H2. These are not low-value one-timers. These are established relationships that went silent. Combined H1 revenue: £353,800. None of that revenue transferred to H2. The grouped view by frequency tier is shown below.

UK Accounts Silent in H2 2011 — Grouped by Frequency Tier
Tier Account Count Combined H1 Revenue
Regular (4–9) 14 £16.34K
Occasional (2–3) 163 £185.30K
One-timer (1) 510 £151.58K

21.2.3 Top 10 UK Products by Net Revenue

Which products generate the most revenue from UK Identified customers, after cancellations?

Net revenue is gross invoiced minus cancellations. A product appearing in the gross top 10 but not the net top 10 is overstating its commercial contribution. Every decision that uses gross figures — stock prioritization, Q4 purchasing, supplier negotiations — is working from inflated numbers.

UK segment only — cancellation figures reflect UK-segment reversals; whole-business figures in Cancellations & Pricing.

UK Top 10 Products by Net Revenue — UK segment only (UK-segment cancellations only; whole-business view in Cancellations & Pricing)
Rank Product Stock Code Gross Revenue Cancellations Net Revenue Cancel Rate Units Sold Rev / Unit
1 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier 22423 £110.71K £7.87K £102.85K 7.11% 9,617 £10.69
2 White Hanging Heart T-Light H... 85123A £94.96K £6.54K £88.42K 6.89% 34,687 £2.55
3 Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot 85099B £77.19K £1.96K £75.24K 2.53% 41,878 £1.80
4 Party Bunting 47566 £63.05K £1.16K £61.89K 1.83% 13,980 £4.43
5 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament 84879 £52.23K £81 £52.15K 0.16% 32,628 £1.60
6 Picnic Basket Wicker Small 22502 £46.52K £380 £46.14K 0.82% 1,323 £34.88
7 Chilli Lights 79321 £45.48K £350 £45.13K 0.77% 9,494 £4.75
8 Paper Chain Kit 50'S Christmas 22086 £40.39K £854 £39.54K 2.12% 14,772 £2.68
9 Black Record Cover Frame 21137 £37.84K £55 £37.78K 0.15% 11,053 £3.42
10 Small Popcorn Holder 22197 £34.41K £319 £34.09K 0.93% 45,609 £0.75

The top 10 UK products combined generate roughly 8% of total UK segment revenue — meaning 10 products out of 3,639 active UK SKUs account for 1 in 12 pounds of UK revenue. Inventory due diligence concentrates on these 10 products.

The top 10 are not a uniform group. Regency Cakestand 3 Tier (low volume, high unit value, highest cancel rate in the top 10) is an occasional-purchase product warranting investigation before Q4. White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder (high volume, moderate unit value, second-highest cancel rate, UK-exclusive) is a frequent-replenishment product where customer relationships are exposed if the cancel rate reflects service quality issues. Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot and Assorted Colour Bird Ornament are staple products with negligible cancel rates — the most reliable revenue products in the top 10. Picnic Basket Wicker Small is an extreme outlier on revenue per unit, almost certainly reflecting a unit-of-measure inconsistency; Account 15098 drives 0.00% of this product’s UK revenue and is also in the H1-silent table.

For inventory valuation, an acquirer pricing UK inventory should (1) exclude Picnic Basket Wicker until the unit-of-measure issue is resolved, (2) apply cancellation discounts to Regency Cakestand and White Hanging Heart gross figures, (3) treat Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot and Assorted Colour Bird Ornament as the most reliable inventory valuation inputs.


21.2.4 Top 10 UK Products by Unit Volume

Which products move the most units through the UK customer base?

Understanding the relationship between unit volume and revenue reveals which products serve different commercial functions in the UK catalog.

Volume leaders are not always revenue leaders. A product that moves large quantities at low unit price may be commercially important for customer relationship depth — frequent replenishment orders create natural touchpoints — even if its revenue contribution is modest. Volume products also carry different stock risk: a stockout on a high-volume product disrupts more orders per week than a stockout on a high-value low-volume product.

Volume leaders that also appear in the revenue top 10 are simultaneously high-frequency and high-value — the most commercially productive combination. Volume-only products (high frequency, low unit price) are relationship anchors: customers who order them every few weeks are active relationships even if revenue contribution is modest. Cross-sell opportunity: every account that buys a volume-only product is a candidate to be introduced to a top revenue product. Pre-close, an acquirer should verify current inventory levels for the top-5 volume products against the Q4 demand forecast.


21.2.5 Top 10 UK Products by Revenue per Unit

Which products deliver the highest revenue per unit sold?

The revenue-per-unit ranking complements the volume and total-revenue views by isolating the products where each individual transaction carries the greatest commercial weight.

Revenue per unit identifies products where each individual sale carries the most commercial weight. These are the products where a pricing inconsistency, a discount, or a stockout has the highest per-transaction cost. The floor for inclusion is 50 units sold — products with fewer transactions than that have insufficient price observations to produce a reliable average.

A product with high revenue per unit and consistent pricing has a defensible price point that customers accept without negotiation. A product with high revenue per unit but high price variance has a pricing governance problem: some customers are paying full price and others are getting discounts that erode margin. The Picnic Basket Wicker UOM anomaly distorts the chart — that product’s revenue-per-unit figure is not comparable to the rest of the chart and should not be used for pricing benchmarking until the unit definition is verified in the inventory system. After excluding the UOM anomaly, the top RPU products are the ones where pricing discipline matters most: a 10% discount on a £10/unit product costs the business 10× more per unit than the same discount on a £1/unit product.


21.2.6 UK-Exclusive Products

Which top UK products do not appear in the international or anonymous top 10?

A product that ranks in the UK top 10 but not in the international or anonymous top 10 is driven primarily by UK customer demand. These products have a concentrated UK dependency: the revenue they generate is not diversified across segments. A supply disruption, a single large cancellation, or the loss of one or two major UK accounts directly impacts these products with no offsetting demand from other channels.

Of the top 10 UK products, 6 have no demand buffer from international or anonymous customers.

UK-Exclusive Top 10 Products — No Cross-Segment Demand Buffer
UK Rank Product Stock Code Net Revenue Units Sold Cancel Rate
2 White Hanging Heart T-Light H… 85123A £88.42K 34,687 6.89%
3 Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot 85099B £75.24K 41,878 2.53%
5 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament 84879 £52.15K 32,628 0.16%
6 Picnic Basket Wicker Small 22502 £46.14K 1,323 0.82%
7 Chilli Lights 79321 £45.13K 9,494 0.77%
9 Black Record Cover Frame 21137 £37.78K 11,053 0.15%

Account concentration behind each UK-exclusive product: A product where the top 3 accounts represent 80%+ of demand is not a product risk — it is an account risk dressed as a product. Losing one of those accounts doesn’t just hurt revenue; it collapses demand for the entire product line.

UK-Exclusive Products — Account Demand Concentration
UK Rank Product Total Net Rev # UK Accounts Top Account Top Acct Rev Top 1 Share Top 3 Share Risk Signal
2 White Hanging Heart T-Light… £94.96K 821 17450 £13.25K 13.96% 30.11% 🟢 Distributed demand
3 Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot £77.19K 562 15769 £8.33K 10.79% 20.98% 🟢 Distributed demand
5 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament £52.23K 642 12931 £7.32K 14.01% 20.25% 🟢 Distributed demand
6 Picnic Basket Wicker Small £46.52K 167 15098 £39.92K 85.80% 87.68% 🔴 Single-account dependency
7 Chilli Lights £45.48K 200 16532 £6.37K 14.01% 36.02% 🟢 Distributed demand
9 Black Record Cover Frame £37.84K 130 16210 £16.03K 42.36% 57.09% 🟡 Moderate concentration

21.2.7 Product Affinity — UK Top 10

Co-purchase frequency among the UK top-10 products: how often two of these products appeared in the same UK customer order. This is the operationally correct affinity reference for UK cross-sell programs because it uses only UK customer transactions — international and anonymous orders are excluded so they cannot dilute or distort the pairings.

Heatmap Label Stock Code Full Product Name
Assorted Colour Bird O... 84879 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament
Black Record Cover Frame 21137 Black Record Cover Frame
Chilli Lights 79321 Chilli Lights
Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot 85099B Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot
Paper Chain Kit 50'S C... 22086 Paper Chain Kit 50'S Christmas
Party Bunting 47566 Party Bunting
Picnic Basket Wicker S... 22502 Picnic Basket Wicker Small
Regency Cakestand 3 Tier 22423 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier
Small Popcorn Holder 22197 Small Popcorn Holder
White Hanging Heart T-... 85123A White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder

Top 5 Cross-Sell Pairs — UK Account Team Actions

Top 5 UK Product Affinity Pairs — UK Identified customers only
Rank Product A Product B Orders Together A-only customers B-only customers
1 Party Bunting White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 269 420 582
2 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 256 416 595
3 Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 242 352 611
4 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 219 523 577
5 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier Assorted Colour Bird Ornament 203 533 408

21.3 C.3 · International Product Analysis

International-segment product detail.

21.3.1 Five Product Findings That Shape This Section

2,774 SKUs are active internationally, but 10 products generate 9.43% of international product revenue. The top 10 international products generate £141.22K combined. An acquirer evaluating inventory should focus due diligence on these 10 products: supplier contracts, stock levels, lead times, and substitutability.

Of the international top-10 products, 8 do not appear in the UK top 10. These products — Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woo…, Spaceboy Lunch Box, Dolly Girl Lunch Box, Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 Fr…, Red Toadstool Led Night Light, Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutlery…, Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins, Plasters In Tin Woodland Animals — have demand entirely dependent on international accounts.

No international top product derives 70%+ of revenue from a single country.

Account 14646 is both the revenue anchor and the product-demand anchor of the international segment. Account 14646 generates 33.24% of Rabbit Night Light’s international demand.

None of the top 10 products have significant revenue exposure to H1-silent accounts.

21.3.2 International Accounts That Went Silent Before Q4 (72) — Product Revenue Impact

International Top 10 Products — Revenue Exposure to H1-Silent Accounts
Rank Product Net Revenue Silent Acct Rev Silent Accts % from Silent
1 Rabbit Night Light £28.57K £50 2 0.17%
2 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier £21.80K £921 13 4.05%
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woo… £17.95K £283 11 1.55%
4 Spaceboy Lunch Box £14.35K £140 6 0.97%
5 Dolly Girl Lunch Box £12.08K £293 8 2.37%
6 Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 Fr… £10.48K £233 10 2.18%
7 Red Toadstool Led Night Light £10.11K £198 7 1.92%
8 Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutlery… £9.87K £56 3 0.56%
9 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins £8.01K £20 1 0.25%
10 Plasters In Tin Woodland Animals £8.00K £139 7 1.70%

21.3.3 Top 10 International Products by Net Revenue

International Top 10 Products by Net Revenue
Rank Product Stock Code Gross Revenue Cancellations Net Revenue Cancel Rate Units Sold Rev / Unit
1 Rabbit Night Light 23084 £28.78K £208 £28.57K 0.72% 15,437 £1.85
2 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier 22423 £31.53K £9.72K £21.80K 30.84% 2,755 £7.91
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woo… 22326 £18.07K £121 £17.95K 0.67% 6,697 £2.68
4 Spaceboy Lunch Box 22629 £14.45K £93 £14.35K 0.64% 8,363 £1.72
5 Dolly Girl Lunch Box 22630 £12.55K £479 £12.08K 3.81% 7,344 £1.64
6 Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 Fr… 22328 £12.17K £1.69K £10.48K 13.90% 4,556 £2.30
7 Red Toadstool Led Night Light 21731 £10.39K £281 £10.11K 2.71% 6,735 £1.50
8 Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutlery… 84997D £9.97K £109 £9.87K 1.09% 2,660 £3.71
9 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins 23245 £8.43K £422 £8.01K 5.00% 1,886 £4.24
10 Plasters In Tin Woodland Animals 22554 £8.05K £48 £8.00K 0.59% 5,134 £1.56

The top 10 international products combined generate £141.22K — 9.43% of total international segment revenue. That is 10 products out of 2,774 active international SKUs. Cross-segment overlap: 1 product (Regency Cakestand 3 Tier, stock code 22423) appears in both top 10s — natural cross-segment buffer. Remaining 9 products are unique to the international top 10. For international products, cancellations carry higher operational cost than UK cancellations: shipping, customs, and logistics for cancelled international orders are not recoverable.

21.3.4 International Product Demand by Country and Region

International Top 10 Products — Geographic Breadth of Demand
Rank Product Net Revenue Countries Top Market Top Market Share Breadth
1 Rabbit Night Light £28.57K 18 Netherlands 33.24% 🟢 Multi-market demand
2 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier £21.80K 27 Germany 28.74% 🟢 Multi-market demand
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4… £17.95K 20 Netherlands 44.23% 🟢 Multi-market demand
4 Spaceboy Lunch Box £14.35K 16 Netherlands 51.82% 🟡 Top-market concentrated
5 Dolly Girl Lunch Box £12.08K 18 Netherlands 54.39% 🟡 Top-market concentrated
6 Round Snack Boxes Set Of … £10.48K 14 Netherlands 33.18% 🟢 Multi-market demand
7 Red Toadstool Led Night L… £10.11K 16 Netherlands 33.48% 🟢 Multi-market demand
8 Childrens Cutlery Polkado… £9.87K 20 Spain 39.68% 🟢 Multi-market demand
9 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins £8.01K 21 Netherlands 20.78% 🟢 Multi-market demand
10 Plasters In Tin Woodland … £8.00K 19 Netherlands 27.67% 🟢 Multi-market demand

21.3.5 International Top 10 — Account Concentration

International Top 10 Products — Account Concentration
Rank Product Net Revenue Accounts Countries Top Account Top Acct Mkt Top 1 % Top 3 %
1 Rabbit Night Light £28.78K 72 18 14646 Netherlands 33.24% 63.25%
2 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier £31.53K 112 27 12471 Germany 15.00% 37.67%
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 W… £18.07K 124 20 14646 Netherlands 44.04% 53.16%
4 Spaceboy Lunch Box £14.45K 89 16 14646 Netherlands 51.33% 65.98%
5 Dolly Girl Lunch Box £12.55K 78 18 14646 Netherlands 53.83% 74.05%
6 Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 … £12.17K 85 14 14646 Netherlands 33.18% 66.39%
7 Red Toadstool Led Night Light £10.39K 88 16 14646 Netherlands 33.29% 52.22%
8 Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutle… £9.97K 61 20 12557 Spain 39.30% 75.47%
9 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins £8.43K 73 21 14646 Netherlands 20.55% 47.16%
10 Plasters In Tin Woodland An… £8.05K 111 19 14646 Netherlands 27.67% 36.29%

International product demand is more account-concentrated than UK product demand because the account base is smaller. With fewer accounts buying each product, the loss of any single account moves the needle more. Every product where the top account generates more than 30% of revenue has a named-account dependency that should be managed explicitly.

21.3.6 Top 10 International Products by Unit Volume

21.3.7 Top 10 International Products by Revenue per Unit

21.3.8 International-Exclusive Products

Of the top-10 international products, 8 have no demand buffer from UK or anonymous customers.

International-Exclusive Top 10 Products — No Cross-Segment Demand Buffer
Intl Rank Product Stock Code Net Revenue Units Sold Cancel Rate
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woo… 22326 £17.95K 6,697 0.67%
4 Spaceboy Lunch Box 22629 £14.35K 8,363 0.64%
5 Dolly Girl Lunch Box 22630 £12.08K 7,344 3.81%
6 Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 Fr… 22328 £10.48K 4,556 13.90%
7 Red Toadstool Led Night Light 21731 £10.11K 6,735 2.71%
8 Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutlery… 84997D £9.87K 2,660 1.09%
9 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins 23245 £8.01K 1,886 5.00%
10 Plasters In Tin Woodland Animals 22554 £8.00K 5,134 0.59%
International-Exclusive Products — Account and Geographic Demand Concentration
Intl Rank Product Total Net Rev # Accounts # Countries Top Account Top Acct Market Top 1 Share Top 3 Share Risk Signal
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 W… £18.07K 124 20 14646 Netherlands 44.04% 53.16% 🟡 Moderate concentration
4 Spaceboy Lunch Box £14.45K 89 16 14646 Netherlands 51.33% 65.98% ⚠ Single-account dependency
5 Dolly Girl Lunch Box £12.55K 78 18 14646 Netherlands 53.83% 74.05% ⚠ Single-account dependency
6 Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 … £12.17K 85 14 14646 Netherlands 33.18% 66.39% 🟡 Moderate concentration
7 Red Toadstool Led Night Light £10.39K 88 16 14646 Netherlands 33.29% 52.22% 🟡 Moderate concentration
8 Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutle… £9.97K 61 20 12557 Spain 39.30% 75.47% 🟡 Top-3 concentrated
9 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins £8.43K 73 21 14646 Netherlands 20.55% 47.16% 🟢 Distributed demand
10 Plasters In Tin Woodland An… £8.05K 111 19 14646 Netherlands 27.67% 36.29% 🟢 Distributed demand

21.3.9 Product Affinity — International Top 10

Co-purchase frequency among the international top-10 products: how often two of these products appeared in the same international customer order. This is the operationally correct affinity reference for international cross-sell programs because it uses only international customer transactions — UK and anonymous orders are excluded. International accounts buy a different catalog from UK accounts (only 1 product overlaps in the top 10), so this matrix is structurally different from the UK affinity matrix in C.2.

Heatmap Label Stock Code Full Product Name
Dolly Girl Lunch Box 22630 Dolly Girl Lunch Box
Pink 3 Piece Polkadot ... 84997D Pink 3 Piece Polkadot Cutlery Set
Plasters In Tin Woodla... 22554 Plasters In Tin Woodland Animals
Rabbit Night Light 23084 Rabbit Night Light
Red Toadstool Led Nigh... 21731 Red Toadstool Led Night Light
Regency Cakestand 3 Tier 22423 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier
Round Snack Boxes Set ... 22326 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woodland
Round Snack Boxes Set ... 22328 Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 Fruits
Set Of 3 Regency Cake ... 23245 Set Of 3 Regency Cake Tins
Spaceboy Lunch Box 22629 Spaceboy Lunch Box

Top 5 Cross-Sell Pairs — International Account Team Actions

Top 5 International Product Affinity Pairs — International Identified customers only
Rank Product A Product B Orders Together A-only customers B-only customers
1 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woodland Round Snack Boxes Set Of 4 Fruits 140 50 11
2 Spaceboy Lunch Box Dolly Girl Lunch Box 111 29 18
3 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woodland Spaceboy Lunch Box 102 63 28
4 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woodland Plasters In Tin Woodland Animals 91 57 44
5 Round Snack Boxes Set Of4 Woodland Dolly Girl Lunch Box 68 77 31

21.4 C.4 · Product Affinity — Combined View

Whole-business view across all identified customers.

This combined view uses all identified customers regardless of segment. It shows which product pairs are most frequently purchased together across the full customer base. UK and International customers purchase largely different product catalogs (only 1 of the top-10 products overlaps across segments), which means the whole-business affinity pairs may not reflect the cross-sell opportunity within each segment. Anonymous orders are excluded from this co-occurrence analysis — without CustomerID, individual transactions cannot be linked to repeat customers.

This heatmap shows co-purchase frequency — how often two products appeared in the same order. It does not show whether customers who currently purchase only one product from a strong pair would respond to a cross-sell recommendation. Use this heatmap to identify which conversations to start, not to predict how those conversations will end.

Cross-sell applications:

  1. Identify your customer’s primary product (find its row or column).
  2. Locate the darkest cell in that row — that is the most frequently co-purchased pairing for customers of that product.
  3. Check whether your customer currently orders the paired product.
  4. If they do not, that is the starting point for the cross-sell conversation.
  5. Validate the pairing makes sense for this specific customer’s market and use case before outreach.

Heatmap Label Stock Code Full Product Name
Assorted Colour Bird O... 84879 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament
Black Record Cover Frame 21137 Black Record Cover Frame
Chilli Lights 79321 Chilli Lights
Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot 85099B Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot
Paper Chain Kit 50'S C... 22086 Paper Chain Kit 50'S Christmas
Party Bunting 47566 Party Bunting
Picnic Basket Wicker S... 22502 Picnic Basket Wicker Small
Rabbit Night Light 23084 Rabbit Night Light
Regency Cakestand 3 Tier 22423 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier
White Hanging Heart T-... 85123A White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder

Top 5 Cross-Sell Pairs — Named Actions for Account Team

Top 5 Product Affinity Pairs — Combined Identified Customers
Rank Product A Product B Orders Together A-only customers B-only customers
1 Party Bunting White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 279 453 601
2 Assorted Colour Bird Ornament White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 271 439 619
3 Jumbo Bag Red Retrospot White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 252 413 634
4 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier White Hanging Heart T-Light Holder 234 618 595
5 Regency Cakestand 3 Tier Assorted Colour Bird Ornament 230 630 427

For a strategic acquirer, the product affinity data answers a due diligence question that transaction data alone cannot answer: what is the natural cross-sell structure of this customer base? The co-purchase pairs represent customer behavior that already exists — these are not projected preferences, they are documented purchasing patterns. An acquirer with a broader catalog than this business can use the same affinity structure to introduce its own products to established customers. For valuation purposes, this represents genuine upside above the LTV projections in LTV Methodology through CAC & Regional, which are based solely on the existing catalog.

This combined heatmap is the whole-business view — useful for spotting cross-segment product bridges, but the co-occurrence counts are dominated by UK volume (3,914 UK accounts vs 414 international accounts), so international purchasing patterns are systematically under-weighted in the combined ranking.

The Product Affinity — UK Top 10 subsection at the end of C.2 is the operationally correct reference for UK cross-sell programs: it uses only UK customer transactions, so the pairs and intensities reflect what UK accounts actually buy together. The Product Affinity — International Top 10 subsection at the end of C.3 is the operationally correct reference for international cross-sell programs: international accounts buy a different catalog from UK accounts (only 1 product overlaps in the top 10), so the international affinity matrix is structurally different from the UK matrix.

Where a product pair appears in the UK or international chart but not in the combined chart (or vice versa), the segment-specific chart is authoritative for that segment’s account team. Cross-sell programs built on the combined view will systematically under-serve international purchasing patterns because UK volume dominates the co-occurrence counts.


Author: Shawn Phillips | Lailara LLC


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